FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

With nearly three-quarters of the vote counted — we’re blazing here — in Florida’s 13th District Democratic nominee Eric Lynn and GOP nominee Anna Paulina Luna are all tied up at about 50 percent. This is the rare competitive House race in the Sunshine State, and Lynn has the support of a super PAC seeded by $10 million from a single donor. Outgoing Rep. Charlie Crist, a Democrat, is trailing DeSantis 52 percent to 47 percent.

Nate Silver

Prediction markets have generally been more bullish on GOP chances than FiveThirtyEight and other forecast models, and their trajectory today has been interesting. They were shifting strongly to the GOP over the course of the afternoon on reports of low Democratic turnout, but Republicans have given some of their gains back in the past hour or so once actual votes have started to trickle in.

Alex Samuels

Polls in Texas’s Harris County will be open an extra hour — so until 9 p.m. Eastern tonight, compared with the state’s usual 8 p.m. poll closing time. The move comes after the county was sued by the Texas Organizing Project, which cited delays in opening a number of polling locations, according to local reports.


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