FiveThirtyEight
Chadwick Matlin

Over at The Atlantic, Annie Lowrey wrote an article about America’s penchant for tight elections with the perhaps too-provocative headline “Why Is America Always Divided 50-50?” Am I right to think that it’s not that simple? Judging by voter registration, is it really something like 35-35 with a bunch of people in the middle who happen to be splitting pretty evenly these days?

Nathaniel Rakich

Ten percent of the expected vote is now reporting in Georgia’s closely watched Senate race, and Warnock leads Walker 68 percent to 31 percent. But don’t get too excited, Democrats: The votes that are reporting so far are disproportionately coming from Democratic areas, like Atlanta.

Nate Silver

I’ve said this before, but I think Democrats are sometimes too quick to brush off Florida — e.g., “Oh, it’s a red state now” or “It’s in the South, and it’s always been a red state.” By its demographics, though, it shouldn’t be a red state. It’s ethnically and racially diverse, it’s coastal and it’s urban. It really speaks to the limitations of the current Democratic coalition.


Exit mobile version