How Election Week 2022 Went Down

Ten percent of the expected vote is now reporting in Georgia’s closely watched Senate race, and Warnock leads Walker 68 percent to 31 percent. But don’t get too excited, Democrats: The votes that are reporting so far are disproportionately coming from Democratic areas, like Atlanta.

I’ve said this before, but I think Democrats are sometimes too quick to brush off Florida — e.g., “Oh, it’s a red state now” or “It’s in the South, and it’s always been a red state.” By its demographics, though, it shouldn’t be a red state. It’s ethnically and racially diverse, it’s coastal and it’s urban. It really speaks to the limitations of the current Democratic coalition.

Adding a bit more context to Amelia’s post, according to our latest FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll, in October, likely voters were asked which issues were most important for the country (selecting up to three from a list of 20), and they ranked abortion ninth (11 percent). Sixty-three percent of likely voters had been seeing a lot about abortion in the news, making it the second-most-seen issue among the same list of 20 (after only “inflation or increasing costs,” 77 percent).