We’re getting toward the end of the road with the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms. As things stand, Republicans have 218 seats and Democrats have 212, according to ABC News estimates. That means the winning party in five seats still has not been projected.
Several House races are still up in the air
Districts where ABC News has not yet reported a projected winner, as of 10:42 a.m. Eastern
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Percent reporting | Vote margin | Vote share margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-1 | Peltola i | Palin | 81% | 53,297 | D+22.1 |
| CA-3 | Jones | Kiley | 60 | 9,479 | R+4.9 |
| CA-13 | Gray | Duarte | 71 | 827 | R+0.7 |
| CA-22 | Salas | Valadao i | 51 | 4,445 | R+6.0 |
| CO-3 | Frisch | Boebert i | 99 | 551 | R+0.2 |
Let’s take a look at where each race stands:
- Republicans likely have the upper hand in four races, so they may be headed for 222 seats. First, Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert leads Democrat Adam Frisch by just 0.2 points in Colorado’s 3rd District, and with a margin of just 551 votes, the race will probably go to a recount. Thing is, the leading candidate usually wins those, and a recent study by Fairvote of statewide recounts found that in the few instances where the leading candidate did change, the margin was inside 0.1 points each time.
- In California, Republicans have an edge in three seats. In the 3rd District, Republican Kevin Kiley leads Democrat Kermit Jones by almost 5 points, 52.4 percent to 47.6 percent. To catch Kiley, Jones needs about 54 percent of the roughly 132,000 votes left to be counted, but considering this is an R+7 seat that may be a tall order. In the 13th District, Republican John Duarte leads Democrat Adam Gray by less than 1 point, 50.3 percent to 49.7 percent. That’s a thin lead, but Duarte seems more than likely to retain an edge, as Gray needs to win 56 percent of the 6,000 or so outstanding votes. And in the 22nd District, Republican Rep. David Valadao leads Democrat Rudy Salas by 6 points, 53 percent to 47 percent. With around 52,000 votes left to count here, Salas needs around 54 percent to overtake Valadao, a fairly steep hill to climb.
- Meanwhile, Democrats have an edge in Alaska’s At-Large District, which will likely be decided by ranked-choice voting and would give the party 213 seats. Currently, Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola has 48 percent of first-choice votes, so this time around she’ll likely end up with more than the 40 percent she initially won in the August special election here. Republican Sarah Palin looks headed for second place, but she will probably need to win around 90 percent or more of second-choice votes to have any chance of catching Peltola.