FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

To Sarah’s point, I do think Virginia provides more evidence that maybe increased political engagement (turnout) is here to stay — at least for the short term. That’s relatively speaking, of course: As Sarah said, turnout in Virginia is down from 2020, which is how Youngkin was able to win in a blue-ish state. But that’s very normal for an off-year, non-presidential election. Turnout in Virginia is up relative to more comparable contests.


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