FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

As the official provider of cold takes tonight, I suppose I should add that I’m a little skeptical that exit polls are the best way to determine demographic shifts in the Virginia electorate. Exit polls are always fairly imprecise, and particularly as they’re becoming harder to conduct in a world in which more people vote early or absentee, I’d tend to look at precinct- or county-level data instead for a sense of what happened and why.


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