FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

One wildcard that could actually be helpful for Democrats next year, though, Micah — although it would hurt their agenda in other, maybe longer-lasting ways — is the Supreme Court. The justices heard oral arguments over the structure of Texas’s highly restrictive abortion law on Monday, they’re hearing their first gun rights case in over a decade this morning, and they’re going back to abortion in early December. I could definitely imagine a world where the conservative majority does some controversial and unpopular things, like limiting or overturning Roe v. Wade, and Democrats try to use that to mobilize voters.


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