FiveThirtyEight
Leah Askarinam

Well, it might be a little later in the night than we had hoped, but we’re going into Wednesday morning with the results of Virginia’s governor’s race. There’s going to be a lot of speculation about what the outcome means for 2022, and it’s fair to say that it’s not a great sign for Democrats. That said, there’s no clear answer as to how Democrats can rectify their problems before November, and there’s no way to make an apples-to-apples comparison between today’s gubernatorial race and the upcoming midterms. Trump will likely be more involved in November, when there will be a bigger congressional and gubernatorial battleground, with the added uncertainty of newly drawn congressional maps after redistricting. Today offered a temperature check for the national environment, and it seems that Republicans are enjoying the perks of the opposing party’s first term in the presidency. From here, continue to read polling wisely and watch which candidates emerge in key races.


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