FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

We’re going to spend a lot of time talking about why certain issues mattered in the election, but the long and short of the Virginia result mostly comes down to Biden being unpopular as well as differential turnout, whereby Republicans turned out at somewhat higher rates than Democrats. The exit polls showed the electorate’s recalled 2020 vote was Biden +2 in a state that the president carried by 10 points. Many Virginians and Americans in general aren’t happy with the status quo, and that showed.


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