FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

One group we haven’t heard too much about tonight are Latino voters, who shifted toward Trump in 2020. But a special election taking place in Texas tonight might shed some light on whether those shifts have staying power. This is a state House race in a district where 73 percent of residents are Hispanic, and where former Rep. Beto O’Rourke won by 20 points in 2018 and Biden won by 14 points in 2020.


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