FiveThirtyEight
Ryan Matsumoto

It’s the morning after Election Day, and the New Jersey governor’s race is neck-and-neck. Just how close?

Per Edison, Murphy has taken a 1,667 vote lead over Ciattarelli with about 85 percent of the expected vote reporting. It seems likely that Murphy will expand his lead as additional votes are counted. There seem to be a substantial number of absentee votes yet to be reported in heavily Democratic Mercer County (69 percent for Biden in 2020) as well as additional batches of votes from other counties like Somerset, Essex and Union.

There is some uncertainty about exactly how many votes are left to be reported, but directionally it definitely seems like they should favor Democrats.

Micah Cohen

Programming note: As mentioned, we’ll be back here in a bit with more updates from New Jersey (where we expect to get more results soon). But in the meantime, courtesy of Geoff, you can find a more detailed look at what went down in Virginia here.

Micah Cohen

Morning!

Good morning, early risers! It’s a little after 6 a.m. on Wednesday, the day after Election Day in Virginia, New Jersey and a bunch of other places around the country, Things stand mostly where they did when our crew said goodnight a few hours ago: In Virginia’s governor’s race, Youngkin has been projected the winner by our colleagues at ABC News. In New Jersey’s governor’s race, only about 84 percent of the expected vote has been counted; at the moment, the Republican, Ciattarelli, and the incumbent Democrat, Murphy, are separated by less than 100 votes.

We’ll be keeping you updated here today as more votes are counted in New Jersey — and we’ll have more data-driven analyses of “what this all means” — but in the meantime, check out our crew’s late-night thoughts in the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast they recorded in the wee hours this morning.


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