FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Progressive Justin Bibb currently leads moderate Kevin Kelley 60 percent to 40 percent in the race for Cleveland mayor, and Kelley has apparently seen enough:

Galen Druke

As Nate Cohn points out here, we have very little information on New Jersey. It’s basically a shruggie emoji for now.

Nathaniel Rakich

With 56 percent of the expected vote reporting, Ciattarelli leads Murphy 51 percent to 48 percent in New Jersey. How worried should Murphy be? It’s hard to tell, to be honest. There’s no county that’s 100 percent reporting to benchmark against, and it’s hard to know whether the outstanding vote is mostly Republican-leaning in-person votes or Democratic-leaning absentees. Based on the fundamentals of the race, I assume that Murphy will pull it out, but I can’t promise it won’t be close.


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