What Went Down During The 2021 Elections

The Associated Press has called the special election in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District for Republican Mike Carey. Carey currently leads 57 percent to 43 percent; if that margin holds, it would actually represent a relatively weak Republican showing in this R+19 district. Just to muddle the narrative somewhat.

I think the final result in New Jersey could shed some light on the thermostatic vs. policy-specific debate. If Murphy’s win is in the mid-single digits, that seems like a fairly good piece of evidence toward thermostatic. Ciattarelli ran on property taxes, not CRT. If Murphy wins by more, then the picture is more muddled by incumbency and things of that nature.

I absolutely agree that that’s the bottom line, Mackenzie. Biden’s setting the climate; we’re talking about what’s influencing the weather.