What Went Down During The 2021 Elections

In Minneapolis, City Question 2 — over whether to replace the police department with a department of public safety — is currently losing 58 percent to 42 percent. In addition, incumbent Jacob Frey has 44 percent of first-place votes in the ranked-choice election for mayor; his two progressive challengers combined have only 38 percent.

Yeah, still, keep an eye on the margin in the New Jersey gubernatorial election. Murphy will probably still prevail based on what I’m seeing, but it looks like the margin could be in the single digits. If this happens, it would be a substantial underperformance from Biden’s 16-point margin there in 2020. This could be a sign that Democrats’ struggles aren’t just limited to the particulars of the Virginia gubernatorial race, but that the national political winds are pretty bad for them in general.

Actually, a correction on my earlier post about New Jersey: Hunterdon County’s Election Day precincts are almost fully reporting, but there are still lots of mail votes left to count, and those of course should help Murphy.