FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley Ryan Best

And here’s the map version of Geoffrey’s and my benchmark table from earlier, showing where Youngkin has overperformed expectations based on our 2020 benchmarks. Spoiler alert: he’s beating his benchmarks across almost the whole state, outside of some small rural counties on the western side of the state that vote overwhelmingly Republican in 2020:
Jacob Rubashkin

Based on analysis of the vote, ABC News projects that Democrat Eric Adams will win the New York City mayoral race.

Nathaniel Rakich

That’s fair, Jacob — perhaps it would be better to characterize Cherfilus-McCormick as “anti-establishment.” She ran against Hastings twice and had the endorsement of Marianne Williamson, but not the usual progressive suspects, as you mentioned.


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