FiveThirtyEight
Oren Oppenheim

Polls have closed in New York City as of 9 p.m.! A quick refresher: Democratic candidate Eric Adams won the crowded Democratic primary for mayor in June, although a failure by the NYC Board of Elections to remove test ballots from preliminary results initially threw the results into disarray. Both Adams and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa were in New York City’s first ever ranked-choice voting primaries (but Sliwa only had one opponent on the ballot, while Adams had many).

Nate Silver

I don’t really buy that at all. Trump’s claims that the election was stolen start to look a lot weaker if other Republicans are able to win, especially in blue states.

Leah Askarinam

Before we get to electability in 2024, let’s look at who wins primaries in 2022, especially in Senate races in competitive states like Pennsylvania and North Carolina.


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