What Went Down During The 2021 Elections

I don’t know, Nate. When a majority of your party doesn’t think you lost, I’m not sure your electability is as damaged as it should be.

I think some of you are underestimating how much voters care about electability. If Youngkin can argue that he’s able to win in places where Trump lost, that could be pretty persuasive to some voters — even in a primary where Trump is contesting the nomination.

Turnout in the Virginia gubernatorial election will likely exceed 3 million votes, higher than 2.6 million votes in 2017 and 2.2 million votes in 2013. Tonight is a great example of how “high turnout” does not necessarily foreshadow Democratic wins. There’s a lot of opportunity for Republicans to turn out low-propensity voters and also flip swing voters.