FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

To Micah’s earlier post — this is some serious putting the cart before the horse by Douthat. Besides, you know, besting Trump in a primary, it’s never been easy to run as a sitting governor of Virginia because usually governors run after they’ve been in office for at least a term. But governors can’t run for reelection in Virginia, so generally you either run after you’ve only been in office for a couple years, like Doug Wilder for a minute in the 1992 Democratic presidential primary (which was a huge failure) or you try to run afterward like Jim Gilmore in the GOP presidential primary in 2016 (Gilmore’s was not a serious campaign, to be fair).

Nathaniel Rakich

In the race for Boston mayor, progressive Michelle Wu leads moderate Annissa Essaibi George 60 percent to 39 percent, with 40 percent reporting.

Sarah Frostenson

I was going to say … I think a Youngkin 2024 presidential bid smacks of what the “Never Trump” faction of the GOP thinks would be good for the GOP and isn’t necessarily realistic of what other Trumpy parts of the country want. Put another way, Youngkin is a good candidate for Virginia but I’m not sure that’s true on a national stage.


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