What Went Down During The 2021 Elections

This election is a good reminder that polling errors do not necessarily replicate from cycle to cycle in a given state. In 2017, the Virginia governor polling average underestimated Democrats by 5 to 6 percentage points. In 2021, the polling average looks like it will be pretty close, and may even underestimate Republicans by a bit.

I thought of saying something on the live blog earlier today about Youngkin presidential speculation, but I left it alone. I guess I shouldn’t have.

Micah, Republicans should run Youngkin only if Democrats run Andy Beshear.