FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Remember in 2020 when certain people on certain cable TV news programs were freaking out about Trump winning in Massachusetts? (Or was it another solid blue state?)

Nathaniel Rakich

Arlington County is also reporting all of its early/absentee votes, and McAuliffe has won them 82 percent to 18 percent. Biden won Arlington County 81 percent to 17 percent en route to a 10-point statewide win — BUT remember, we expect early/absentee votes to be better for McAuliffe than the overall vote will be.
Nate Silver

On the other hand, The New York Times is not running a needle but our friends at The Upshot think the early indications look pretty good for Youngkin:


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