What Went Down During The 2021 Elections

Nate Silver

On the other hand, The New York Times is not running a needle but our friends at The Upshot think the early indications look pretty good for Youngkin:

350 precincts counted, and Youngkin is still running slightly ahead of our projections for a tie
And he's doing it in nearly every category we're breaking down pic.twitter.com/nsoQGFlHVo
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 2, 2021

Nathaniel Rakich

7:36 pm

Breaking in Loudoun Co.: 71k votes reported and McAuliffe wins the batch 55%-45%. @vpapupdates is reporting those are *Election Day* votes, not EV/VBM. If that's true, it would be a good result for McAuliffe. #VAGOV
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2021

Galen Druke

7:33 pm

Apropos to my own media consumption right now … Readers, if you are watching cable news, please ignore all of the wildly early vote counts that are being highlighted. It’s not worth even mentioning the split when there is only 5 percent of a vote in at a particular location.

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