FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Six New York House Races Are Still Unresolved

Here’s the latest on the six New York congressional races where ABC News has yet to project a winner. In general, the Democratic candidates are expected to gain ground in these contests, since absentee ballots skew Democratic.

  • 2nd District: Republican Andrew Garbarino leads Democrat Jackie Gordon in this open, Republican-held seat 57 percent to 42 percent, or a margin of 43,077 votes. According to Newsday, there were only about 63,000 absentee ballots cast here, and while it’s unclear how many of those have been counted so far, Garbarino is a heavy favorite regardless.
  • 3rd District: Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi has taken the lead over Republican George Santos 51 percent to 49 percent, a margin of 6,381 votes. Suozzi should only benefit as more absentees are counted.
  • 18th District: Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney leads Republican Chele Farley 51 percent to 48 percent, a margin of 10,041 votes. Maloney has said he’s confident he will extend his lead as absentees are counted, and we tend to agree.
  • 19th District: Democratic Rep. Antonio Delgado currently leads Republican Kyle Van De Water by a margin of 51 percent to 47 percent, or 14,264 votes. Again, the Democrat is favored to hold on here, even when all the absentee ballots are counted; Decision Desk HQ, in fact, has already called the race for Delgado.
  • 22nd District: Republican Claudia Tenney led Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi by 28,422 votes after Election Day, but Brindisi has surged back into contention on the strength of absentee ballots. According to WBNG-TV reporter Josh Rosenblatt, who has been tracking the absentee-ballot dumps, Tenney’s lead is now only 8,020 votes, with somewhere between 18,000 and 23,000 ballots left to count.
  • 24th District: Although this race remains unprojected, Republican Rep. John Katko has secured a victory over Democrat Dana Balter. On Thursday night, Katko’s lead was 44,729 votes, and there were only 44,400 absentee ballots left to count. And on Friday, Balter conceded the race.

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