FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Six New York House Races Are Still Unresolved

New York is one of the slowest states in the country to count absentee ballots, and that means a lot of candidates across the Empire State still don’t know whether they won. Here’s a rundown of the six congressional races in which ABC News has yet to project a winner. In general, the Democratic candidates are expected to gain ground in these contests, since absentee ballots tend to be Democratic.

  • 2nd District: Republican Andrew Garbarino leads Democrat Jackie Gordon in this open, Republican-held seat 58 percent to 41 percent, or a margin of 44,497 votes. According to Newsday, there were only about 63,000 absentee ballots cast here, so Garbarino is a heavy favorite.
  • 3rd District: Republican George Santos leads Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi 49.9 percent to 49.6 percent, a margin of just 918 votes. However, Newsday says more than 99,000 absentee ballots were cast here, so Suozzi should easily be able to close that gap.
  • 18th District: Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney leads Republican Chele Farley 51 percent to 48 percent, a margin of 10,041 votes. Maloney has said he’s confident he will extend his lead as absentees are counted, and we tend to agree.
  • 19th District: Democratic Rep. Antonio Delgado currently leads Republican Kyle Van De Water by a margin of 51 percent to 47 percent, or 12,926 votes. Again, the Democrat is favored to hold on here, even when all the absentee ballots are counted; Decision Desk HQ, in fact, has already called the race for Delgado.
  • 22nd District: Republican Claudia Tenney led Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi by 28,422 votes after Election Day, but when absentees started to be counted on Thursday, Brindisi cut that lead down to 21,094 votes. As many as 60,000 absentee ballots were cast district-wide, so Brindisi has a narrow but feasible path to victory.
  • 24th District: Although this race remains unprojected, Republican Rep. John Katko has secured a victory over Democrat Dana Balter. On Thursday night, Katko’s lead was 44,729 votes, and there were only 44,400 absentee ballots left to count. And on Friday, Balter conceded the race.

Filed under