FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Republican Michelle Steel has defeated Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda in California’s 48th Congressional District. Rouda flipped this Orange County-based seat in 2018 for the Democrats, but Steel has brought it back into the Republican column. Steel’s victory also adds to the strong showing by Republican women in House battleground districts: Of the eight Democrat-held seats that Republicans have flipped so far, Republican women are responsible for seven of them.


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