All The Outstanding Races Called In The 3+ Weeks Since The Presidential Election

It looks like we can just about close the book on New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. As the Garden State’s vote count continued over the past couple of weeks, Republican Tom Kean Jr. had been gaining on Democratic Rep. Tom Malinowski, which cast some lingering uncertainty over the race despite the fact that ABC News had projected Malinowski as the winner. However, Kean now trails by 1.2 percentage points and appears to have run out of rope in terms of what’s left to count. Accordingly, both The New York Times and Decision Desk HQ projected the race for Malinowski yesterday. (The Times had actually “unprojected” the contest earlier because it seemed Kean might catch Malinowski.)

Last night, the Associated Press called New York’s 19th Congressional District for Democratic incumbent Antonio Delgado. We’re still waiting on a projection from ABC News, but given that Delgado leads 52 percent to 46 percent and absentee ballots are only beginning to get counted, it should just be a matter of time.

Fresh off Gordon’s concession, ABC News has projected New York’s 2nd District for Garbarino, the Republican. This is a mild surprise considering that our House forecast gave Gordon a 57 in 100 chance of victory before the election. However, no polls were released here, forcing our forecast to go entirely off fundamentals, which turned out to be misleading.