FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

A number of you have emailed me asking for an update on Pennsylvania, but things there are pretty boring: Biden’s lead is now up to 74,047 votes, or 1.1 percentage points. In Pennsylvania, a race needs to be within 0.5 percentage point to trigger an automatic recount.

Nathaniel Rakich

Another update on the “recount” (really an audit) of the results in Georgia. Election officials have found so few discrepancies with the original count that the original count, not the recount, will be certified as the official results. (Machine counts of ballots are generally more reliable than hand counts.) This, of course, makes it even more certain that Biden’s win in the state will be upheld.

Nathaniel Rakich

After the Democratic candidates conceded, ABC News has projected the three House races below for Republicans. Utah’s 4th District and California’s 39th District are both upsets, according to the Deluxe version of our House forecast: Democratic Rep. Ben McAdams of Utah had a 56 in 100 chance of winning, and Democratic Rep. Gil Cisneros of California had a 74 in 100 chance. Those two seats are also the eighth and ninth seats Republicans have gained, on net, in the House. There are now only nine House seats that remain unresolved.


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