FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

ABC News can now project that Democrat Mark Kelly, who currently leads 52 percent to 48 percent, has won the Senate race in Arizona. This gives Democrats their second flip of the election, although because Doug Jones lost in Alabama, it’s only a net gain of one seat. Counting the two independents who caucus with them, Democrats are now guaranteed 48 seats in the next Senate.


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