Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

Sarah, the outstanding vote in Pennsylvania is likely very Democratic because there are around 120,000 mail ballots remaining, and Democrats were more likely to vote by mail, so those ballots have a strong Democratic lean. What’s more, a majority of those ballots come from Democratic-leaning counties (Bucks and Lehigh) or heavily Democratic areas (Philadelphia and Allegheny counties). Additionally, we’ve heard that there might be around 100,000 provisional ballots to count as well. Now, provisional ballots tend to be somewhat Democratic-leaning in normal times because groups that lean Democratic are more likely to cast provisional ballots, such as young people or voters of color. But because of the surge in mail voting this year, some voters who requested a mail ballot may have never gotten one or had some other problem with it, so they went to the polls to vote in person but had to vote provisionally so election officials could make sure they didn’t actually vote by mail. This is just one of the many checks that election officials do to ensure the integrity of the vote. But because we know that those voting by mail were more likely to be Democrats, there’s a good chance that those mail-voters-turned-provisional voters are likely to be disproportionately Democratic, too. So that would likely help Biden’s margin in Pennsylvania.