Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

We of course can’t know for sure how a Trump-Sanders race would have played out. But in January, I surveyed a national sample of Americans 30 and over and found that a key sliver of voters backed Biden over Trump but not Sanders. My October survey confirmed that, with Biden outperforming Sanders by 4 percentage points. To be sure, some of Sanders’s strongest support was among young voters. But the survey evidence overall does suggest that there was a meaningful fraction of voters who backed Biden but not Sanders.