Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.
Filed under 2020 Election
According to an update from the Center for American Women and Politics, at least 31 Republican women will serve in the 117th Congress, breaking their previous record of 30, set in 2006. Several races where GOP women are running are still uncalled. That said, the number of GOP women in Congress will be lower than the number Democratic women by a lot — at least 100 Democratic women will sit in the 117th, with several races still TBD.
As we reported last cycle, the 116th Congress was a record-setting year for women, driven primarily by Democrats. We noted that tipping the gender balance in Congress was going to be slow if only one party was making an effort to recruit women to run in competitive or safe seats. But this cycle, at least one group — E-PAC, founded in 2018 by New York Rep. Elise Stefanik — sought to change that, and it is looking like it is paying off. Several E-PAC endorsed women have been projected to upset their opponents, including challengers Nancy Mace in South Carolina’s 1st District, Ashley Hinson in Iowa’s 1st District, Maria Elvira Salazar in Florida’s 27th District and Yvette Herrell in New Mexico’s 2nd District. A few more GOP women could upset opponents in races that are still pending, like Michelle Steel in California’s 48th District, Young Kim in California’s 39th District and Nicole Malliotakis in New York’s 11th District. These were all Democratic pick-ups in 2018, so they could swing back to the Republicans. We’re watching these races, and some others, too:
Which Republican women are winning?
Chances of winning for Republican women candidates running for House or Senate seats in 2020, according to our final forecast
| Candidate | Incumbent | District | Chances | Proj. to win? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kat Cammack | FL-3 | 98% | ✓ | |
| Cathy McMorris Rodgers | ✓ | WA-5 | 98 | ✓ |
| Jackie Walorski | ✓ | IN-2 | 97 | ✓ |
| Elise Stefanik | ✓ | NY-21 | 95 | ✓ |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | ✓ | Senate | 88 | ✓ |
| Jaime Herrera Beutler | ✓ | WA-3 | 82 | ✓ |
| Michelle Fischbach | MN-7 | 81 | ✓ | |
| Ann Wagner | ✓ | MO-2 | 69 | ✓ |
| Lauren Boebert | CO-3 | 61 | ✓ | |
| Joni Ernst | ✓ | Senate | 58 | ✓ |
| Beth Van Duyne | TX-24 | 52 | — | |
| Victoria Spartz | IN-5 | 50 | ✓ | |
| Stephanie Bice | OK-5 | 49 | ✓ | |
| Yvette Herrell | NM-2 | 45 | ✓ | |
| Nicole Malliotakis | NY-11 | 42 | — | |
| Susan Collins | ✓ | Senate | 41 | ✓ |
| Nancy Mace | SC-1 | 36 | ✓ | |
| Michelle Steel | CA-48 | 32 | — | |
| Claudia Tenney | NY-22 | 27 | — | |
| Karen Handel | GA-6 | 26 | ✗ | |
| Young Kim | CA-39 | 26 | — | |
| Martha McSally | ✓ | Senate | 22 | — |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | FL-27 | 19 | ✓ | |
| Genevieve Collins | TX32 | 16 | ✗ | |
| Jeanne Ives | IL-6 | 13 | ✗ | |
| Ashley Hinson | IA-1 | 13 | ✓ | |
| Tiffany Shedd | AZ-1 | 12 | ✗ | |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | IA-2 | 12 | — | |
| Sandy Smith | NC-1 | 6 | ✗ | |
| Chele Farley | NY-18 | 4 | — | |
| Amy Ryan Courser | OR-5 | 4 | ✗ | |
| Esther Joy King | IL-17 | 4 | — | |
| Rosemary Becchi | NJ-11 | 3 | ✗ | |
| Lisa Scheller | PA-7 | 3 | — | |
| Erin Cruz | CA-36 | 3 | ✗ | |
| Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez | TX-15 | 3 | ✗ | |
| Anna Paulina Luna | FL-13 | 2 | ✗ | |
| Amanda Adkins | KS-3 | 2 | ✗ | |
| Christina Hagan | OH-13 | 2 | ✗ | |
| Tamika Hamilton | CA-3 | 2 | ✗ | |
| Kathy Barnette | PA-4 | 1 | ✗ |
