As we’ve been saying throughout the night, we’re going to be generally cautious about projections and early numbers, but the new state that people are buzzing about is Ohio. In suburbs outside of Columbus, Democrats seem heartened by the early numbers, and Biden has a pretty good lead with only half the votes in (so, half to come). A lot of people thought Ohio had passed the point of swing state return even at the start of the year. And in many ways, the state has really trended toward Republicans — a trove of white voters without a college education went to Trump. As early as two years ago, Democrats in the state were telling me that the ONLY chance of the party winning the state back on the presidential level was if they nominated Biden. The Scranton/union family/working-class narrative that Biden has was one they felt would win back Obama-Trump voters (white men, more pointedly). So, let’s see what happens tonight!
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