FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

Building on Matt’s point about unexpected Latino support for the president, I did research with a team of scholars (Cheryl Kaiser, Efrén Pérez, Sara Hagá, Corin Ramos and Michael Zárate) exploring Latino and Asian American responses to perceived discrimination. We found repeatedly in different experiments that having Latino or Asian American respondents think about perceived discrimination against their panethnic group did nothing to change their attitudes toward the political parties. With immigration less of a front-page issue in this election, it might well be that Trump’s share of the (admittedly very diverse) Latino vote won’t shrink relative to 2016.


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