FiveThirtyEight
Maggie Koerth

A national AP survey of more than 127,000 voters and nonvoters found that COVID-19 was the top issue on voters’ minds as they took to the polls today. Four in 10 voters named it their top issue — the economy was in second place — and about half of voters said the pandemic was very much NOT under control. This could matter to the election outcome, given that the Trump and Biden voters have been heavily divided on the COVID-19 issue. Back in October, for instance, Pew found that 55 percent of all voters called the pandemic a “very important” issue, but the partisan split on that question was more like a canyon — with 82 percent of Biden voters and 24 percent of Trump voters taking that stance. Meanwhile, more than half of Americans have disapproved of Trump’s handling of the pandemic for months.

Back in October, COVID-19 wasn’t the top issue on voters’ minds. But if that changed in the past few weeks, it’s probably not a good thing for the president’s chances.


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