FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

In the lead-up to the election, we examined data from Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape and found that Trump was doing better among Hispanics than in 2016. After losing that group by nearly 40 points in 2016, we found that he trailed by a bit more than 20 points this time around. That might point to why we’re seeing him perform better in South Florida. Additionally, we especially found Trump performing better among Hispanics with a college degree. While it’s not a big group nationally, 24 percent of Hispanic Floridians have a college degree, compared to 16 percent of Hispanic adults nationally.


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