Updated |
Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.
Filed under 2020 Election
Where Polls Close At 7:30 p.m.
Now that it’s 7:30 p.m. Eastern, the polls are officially closed in almost all of North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia (a few precincts in North Carolina will remain open late, which will delay results there until about 8:15 p.m. Eastern). Here is what our forecast says about the races where we might soon get results:
Our final forecasts for the 7:30 p.m. races
The final numbers from FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for races where the last polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern
| President races | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| North Carolina | 63.9% | 36.1% | D+2 |
| Ohio | 45.3 | 54.7 | R+1 |
| West Virginia | 0.7 | 99.3 | R+31 |
| Senate races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| North Carolina | 68.1% | 31.9% | D+3 |
| West Virginia | 0.7 | 99.3 | R+24 |
| House races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| NC-1 | 94.0% | 6.0% | D+14 |
| NC-2 | 99.6 | 0.4 | D+27 |
| NC-3 | 0.1 | 99.9 | R+31 |
| NC-4 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+40 |
| NC-5 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+35 |
| NC-6 | 99.6 | 0.4 | D+26 |
| NC-7 | 0.5 | 99.5 | R+25 |
| NC-8 | 34.5 | 65.5 | R+3 |
| NC-9 | 10.3 | 89.7 | R+10 |
| NC-10 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+36 |
| NC-11 | 26.7 | 73.3 | R+5 |
| NC-12 | >99.9 | D+86 | |
| NC-13 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+34 |
| OH-1 | 42.1 | 57.9 | R+1 |
| OH-2 | 1.4 | 98.6 | R+21 |
| OH-3 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+47 |
| OH-4 | 0.1 | 99.9 | R+31 |
| OH-5 | 0.3 | 99.7 | R+26 |
| OH-6 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+42 |
| OH-7 | 0.2 | 99.8 | R+29 |
| OH-8 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+37 |
| OH-9 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+36 |
| OH-10 | 9.5 | 90.5 | R+10 |
| OH-11 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+59 |
| OH-12 | 5.7 | 94.3 | R+12 |
| OH-13 | 97.7 | 2.3 | D+18 |
| OH-14 | 2.7 | 97.3 | R+18 |
| OH-15 | 0.4 | 99.6 | R+25 |
| OH-16 | 0.3 | 99.7 | R+26 |
| WV-1 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+34 |
| WV-2 | 0.6 | 99.4 | R+24 |
| WV-3 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+36 |