FiveThirtyEight
Matt Grossmann

The initial results from Kentucky, while unrepresentative, are consistent with a nationalized presidential election. According to the Decision Desk, the minimal early vote results from a few counties show the same partisan vote shares for the presidential and Senate race, suggesting few split-ticket voters. All those Democratic donors trying to defeat McConnell yielded a lot of advertising, but might not have persuaded many Trump voters to support McGrath.


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