Even though we’ve already told you to basically ignore exit polls … I’d say the results I’ve seen so far would make me even less confident that they’re going to tell us much of predictive value tonight. Based on what’s been publicly reported, there’s some stuff that would seem pretty good for Biden and some that would seem pretty good for Trump, but not in a way that tells an especially coherent story. That’s not meant as a criticism — the people who run the exit polls are smart, but exit polling is really hard this year. I just think we need to wait for actual votes.
