Our Final House Forecast: Democrats Are Clear Favorites To Maintain Control
In the 2018 midterm elections, the central question was whether Democrats would be able to take back the House. And the end result was Democrats flipped 41 seats, riding a big blue wave right through America’s suburbs. Now the question is, can they hold onto that majority?
The answer here is: Yes. Democrats are clear favorites, according to the final version of FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast, which gives them a 97 in 100 chance of winning control of the House.
House Republicans face stiff odds. They need a net gain of 17 seats to reach a majority, which is a lot of House seats to pick up in a presidential cycle. And in addition to that, the overall national environment just doesn’t favor Republicans. That’s maybe the biggest reason why Democrats are favored to keep control of the House — as well as maybe win the White House and even the Senate.