FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

With the speech over, my mind turns to the next couple of months. How hard of a transition is Trump going to make this? My guess is he won’t make it easy. And while I think some Biden supporters may imagine that this is somehow the end of Trump, the president may decide not to go quietly, and he’ll have plenty of attentive ears should he continue to have an aggressive public persona come 2021. What the impact of that will be, I don’t know.

Lee Drutman

The contrast with Trump’s “American carnage” speech couldn’t have been starker. This was pure feel-good optimism. I’m not sure how much it changes the soul of America, which is still deeply torn, but it sure felt uplifting for one night.

Nathaniel Rakich

Every presidential election is historic, but this one perhaps especially so. The first female vice president. The end of one of the most tumultuous administrations in American history. But despite today’s events, the future is not rosy for Democrats. Biden will have real trouble enacting any kind of legislative agenda if Democrats don’t win two runoff elections for Senate in Georgia in January. And Republicans did well in state-level elections that control redistricting, enabling them to draw favorable House and state legislature maps for the next decade.


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