FiveThirtyEight
Julia Wolfe

To your second question Micah, Biden will have to contend with a historic recession. But he’ll also have to contend with the perceptions of that recession. In October, the vast majority of Republicans believed the economy was doing well while only 8 percent of Democrats did. Under a Democratic president, I’m going to guess those numbers flip in short order.

Kaleigh Rogers

Those are the basics, but I think Democrats and, in particular, the progressive wing want to see some real change. The honeymoon period will likely be short before both Biden and Harris’s feet are held to the fire by the left.

Julia Azari

Micah, I guess the question comes down to whether the election said something specific about those things. Any president would be expected to address these major national issues. I guess you could say that the election was a referendum, to some degree, on the incumbent administration’s approach to those issues.


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