FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Here’s that latest squishy estimate, Nate! (A bit higher than we thought.)

Nate Silver

We’ve been in limbo in Arizona. Trump has kind of been losing altitude, not hitting the percentages he needs to overcome Biden’s lead in the state, but also not putting himself so far out of the running that you’d necessarily feel comfortable calling the race. The estimates of how many ballots are still waiting to be counted also tend to be a bit squishy in Arizona.

Nathaniel Rakich

We now estimate there are about 171,000 ballots left to be counted in Arizona; if so, Trump would need to win 59 percent of them to overtake Biden.


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