FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

We’ve been in limbo in Arizona. Trump has kind of been losing altitude, not hitting the percentages he needs to overcome Biden’s lead in the state, but also not putting himself so far out of the running that you’d necessarily feel comfortable calling the race. The estimates of how many ballots are still waiting to be counted also tend to be a bit squishy in Arizona.

Nathaniel Rakich

We now estimate there are about 171,000 ballots left to be counted in Arizona; if so, Trump would need to win 59 percent of them to overtake Biden.

Nathaniel Rakich

We just got more than 70,000 votes in Maricopa County, Arizona, and Trump won them just 53 percent to 44 percent. That’s well behind the pace of about 58 percent that Trump needed to maintain in order to eventually take the lead in the state. A big blow to Trump’s chances here.


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