FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

We now estimate there are about 171,000 ballots left to be counted in Arizona; if so, Trump would need to win 59 percent of them to overtake Biden.

Nathaniel Rakich

We just got more than 70,000 votes in Maricopa County, Arizona, and Trump won them just 53 percent to 44 percent. That’s well behind the pace of about 58 percent that Trump needed to maintain in order to eventually take the lead in the state. A big blow to Trump’s chances here.

Geoffrey Skelley

Our partners at ABC News have learned that Philadelphia will have no further updates on its vote totals tonight. This may essentially eliminate any realistic chance of a race projection in Pennsylvania tonight because Philadelphia is the most Democratic-leaning area in the state, and a vote dump of some size from there could expand the margin to a point where it would be very difficult for Trump to overcome Biden’s statewide lead. As things stand, Biden leads by about 21,700 votes, or 0.32 percentage points, with fewer than 100,000 mail ballots and around 100,000 provisional ballots left to count.


Exit mobile version