FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

And, from Arizona political observer extraordinaire Garrett Archer, here is a third estimate of the remaining votes: 243,000.

Nathaniel Rakich

One thing that is making Arizona harder to project is that we don’t really know how many uncounted ballots remain. The state website says 244,038, but some of its numbers haven’t been updated for days. And the secretary of state told CNN there are 235,000 ballots left — but also 47,000 provisional ballots.

Maya Sweedler

Nevada Update

A federal judge in Nevada has just denied an emergency request from state Republicans seeking to stop the use of signature-verification machines. The decision came in response to a lawsuit filed yesterday by GOP groups, who sought to prevent the use of such machines in the Clark County ballot-counting process. (If this lawsuit is ringing any bells, it’s because a similar lawsuit requesting a halt to the processing of mail-in ballots was filed — and rejected — in a state court earlier this week. A request for an emergency stay was also rejected by the state Supreme Court.) In today’s hearing, Clark County’s lawyer said the county— which includes Las Vegas — had about 63,000 mail-in ballots that still needed to be processed before they could be counted. Though Nevada is apparently done counting ballots today, there are still around 120,000 total ballots that remain unreported in the state, where Biden currently leads by 22,657 votes.


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