FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Biden’s lead in Pennsylvania is now at around 9,700 votes over Trump. There might be around 111,000 mail ballots left there now, since around 9,000 have come in since we last heard there were 120,000 remaining. We have also heard there could be close to 100,000 provisional ballots outstanding. But the expectation is that both sets of ballots will lean Democratic, most especially the mail ballots, more than half of which come from places like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh.

Micah Cohen

On Fox News and from The New York Post, we’ve been seeing a growing acceptance/acknowledgment of how it looks like this race will end. Add Rush Limbaugh to that list:

https://twitter.com/stevethomma/status/1324761733303541760

Nathaniel Rakich

To reiterate where we stand in Arizona: Biden currently leads by a margin of 1.4 percentage points, or 43,779 votes. We estimate there are about 220,000 ballots left to count there, which Trump would need to win by at least a 60-40 ratio to pull ahead. While recent vote releases have been Republican-leaning, they haven’t been that Republican-leaning.


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