FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

On Fox News and from The New York Post, we’ve been seeing a growing acceptance/acknowledgment of how it looks like this race will end. Add Rush Limbaugh to that list:

https://twitter.com/stevethomma/status/1324761733303541760

Nathaniel Rakich

To reiterate where we stand in Arizona: Biden currently leads by a margin of 1.4 percentage points, or 43,779 votes. We estimate there are about 220,000 ballots left to count there, which Trump would need to win by at least a 60-40 ratio to pull ahead. While recent vote releases have been Republican-leaning, they haven’t been that Republican-leaning.

Nate Silver

Jeff Van Drew, the former Democrat who switched parties to become a Republican, has won reelection in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, according to the Associated Press. (ABC News hasn’t made a projection there yet.) A lot of these marginal House seats going the GOP’s way.


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