FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Wisconsin has a wider recount threshold than most states — 1 point rather than 0.5 points — but a recount is not going to overturn Biden’s 20,000-vote margin there in practice. Recounts can shift the result when races are within hundreds or occasionally thousands of votes, but not tens of thousands.

Geoffrey Skelley

Micah, even without Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, Biden is at 243 electoral votes. If he were projected to have won Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania, that would get him to 280 electoral votes without needing to worry about Wisconsin or Georgia.

Micah Cohen

Arizona and Nevada might be super relevant even if Pennsylvania is projected for Biden, right, because they would make Wisconsin and Georgia — which are both in recount land — superfluous in terms of Biden securing at least 270 electoral votes?


Exit mobile version