FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Micah, even without Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, Biden is at 243 electoral votes. If he were projected to have won Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania, that would get him to 280 electoral votes without needing to worry about Wisconsin or Georgia.

Micah Cohen

Arizona and Nevada might be super relevant even if Pennsylvania is projected for Biden, right, because they would make Wisconsin and Georgia — which are both in recount land — superfluous in terms of Biden securing at least 270 electoral votes?

Nate Silver

Yeah … I mean, we don’t call races here at FiveThirtyEight. But I can’t imagine how you can look at those Nevada numbers and not think Biden will win there.


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