FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Arizona and Nevada might be super relevant even if Pennsylvania is projected for Biden, right, because they would make Wisconsin and Georgia — which are both in recount land — superfluous in terms of Biden securing at least 270 electoral votes?

Nate Silver

Yeah … I mean, we don’t call races here at FiveThirtyEight. But I can’t imagine how you can look at those Nevada numbers and not think Biden will win there.

Nathaniel Rakich

We just got a big chunk (more than 30,000) of the almost 200,000 ballots that had been remaining to count in Nevada. And Biden won the batch, 66 percent to 31 percent. Given that it’s Trump who needs to make up ground in the state, that’s really bad for Republicans. Biden now leads statewide in Nevada by 1.8 percentage points, and if this batch was any indication, that lead may only grow from here.


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