Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

We just got a big chunk (more than 30,000) of the almost 200,000 ballots that had been remaining to count in Nevada. And Biden won the batch, 66 percent to 31 percent. Given that it’s Trump who needs to make up ground in the state, that’s really bad for Republicans. Biden now leads statewide in Nevada by 1.8 percentage points, and if this batch was any indication, that lead may only grow from here.

Here’s the situation in Pennsylvania. We calculate that Trump needs at least 52 percent of the remaining vote to retake the lead — and that’s assuming every one of the 100,000 provisional ballots is counted (unlikely, since the reason that caused a voter to cast a provisional ballot in the first place may turn out to render that vote invalid). As Geoffrey mentioned earlier, the remaining ballots are expected to skew heavily Democratic. Trump is in real trouble in Pennsylvania.

As we keep watching Pennsylvania, it’s worth noting that in addition to the fact that the vote totals we’re seeing there now are without the late-arriving ballots — the ones that might have been contested at the U.S. Supreme Court — there’s no evidence at this point that the Trump campaign’s other lawsuits in Pennsylvania are going to make a difference to the outcome. The lawsuits that don’t have to do with observation of the counting process (which is increasingly a moot point as counting wraps up) are mostly about the process of allowing voters to fix problems with ballots or the timeline for verifying absentee voters’ identification. Those issues don’t appear to be affecting many ballots — and that’s assuming the lawsuits are successful at all.